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Everything about Marginal likelihood

In Bayesian probability theory

A marginal likelihood is a likelihood function that has been integrated over the parameter space. In Bayesian statistics, it represents the probability of generating the observed sample for all possible values of the parameters; it can be understood as the probability of the model itself and is therefore often referred to as model evidence or simply evidence. Wikipedia →

🧭 Start here: a 6-step reading path

  1. Read the overview: Marginal likelihoodA 5-minute orientation
  2. Skim a recent paper: Marginal Likelihood Computation for Model Selection and Hypothesis Testing: An Extensive ReviewInfluential work since 2022
  3. Pick up a classic book: Gaussian processes for machine learningThe most-reprinted book on the subject
  4. Read the landmark paper: Fast Stable Restricted Maximum Likelihood and Marginal Likelihood Estimation of Semiparametric Generalized Linear ModelsCited 6,923 times
  5. Go sideways: Conjugate priorA closely related topic
  6. Go sideways: Poisson regressionA closely related topic

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🏆 Landmark papers (most cited)

🆕 Influential since 2022

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