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Everything about Uncertainty quantification

Science of characterizing uncertainties

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is the science of quantitative characterization and estimation of uncertainties in both computational and real world applications. It tries to determine how likely certain outcomes are if some aspects of the system are not exactly known. An example would be to predict the acceleration of a human body in a head-on crash with another car: even if the speed was exactly known, small differences in the manufacturing of individual cars, how tightly every bolt has been tightened, etc., will lead to different results that can only be predicted in a statistical sense. Wikipedia →

🧭 Start here: a 6-step reading path

  1. Read the overview: Uncertainty quantificationA 5-minute orientation
  2. Skim a recent paper: Uncertainty quantification in scientific machine learning: Methods, metrics, and comparisonsInfluential work since 2022
  3. Pick up a classic book: Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3The most-reprinted book on the subject
  4. Read the landmark paper: A review of uncertainty quantification in deep learning: Techniques, applications and challengesCited 2,762 times
  5. Go sideways: Hyperbolastic functionsA closely related topic
  6. Go sideways: Point estimationA closely related topic

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