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Everything about Inductive probability
Determining the probability of future events based on past events
Inductive probability attempts to give the probability of future events based on past events. It is the basis for inductive reasoning, and gives the mathematical basis for learning and the perception of patterns. It is a source of knowledge about the world. Wikipedia →
🧭 Start here: a 6-step reading path
- Read the overview: Inductive probabilityA 5-minute orientation
- Skim a recent paper: Calculating probability of detection of short surface cracks using inductive thermographyInfluential work since 2022
- Pick up a classic book: Fooled by randomnessThe most-reprinted book on the subject
- Read the landmark paper: A proof of the impossibility of inductive probabilityCited 118 times
- Go sideways: Hypoexponential distributionA closely related topic
- Go sideways: Poisson binomial distributionA closely related topic
📖 Definitions
No dictionary entry for this exact phrase.
🏆 Landmark papers (most cited)
A proof of the impossibility of inductive probability
I.—PROBABILITY: THE DEDUCTIVE AND INDUCTIVE PROBLEMS
On the determinants of the conjunction fallacy: Probability versus inductive confirmation.
Evidential diversity and premise probability in young children's inductive judgment
Cohen on Inductive Probability and the Law of Evidence
The Concept of Inductive Probability
A frequentist interpretation of probability for model-based inductive inference
The impossibility of inductive probability
🆕 Influential since 2022
Calculating probability of detection of short surface cracks using inductive thermography
Making decisions with evidential probability and objective Bayesian calibration inductive logics
Meta-Inductive Probability Aggregation
Efficient probability intervals for classification using inductive venn predictors
📚 Books worth reading
Fooled by randomnessNassim Nicholas Taleb · 2001
The implications of inductionL. Jonathan Cohen · 1970
Choice and chanceBrian Skyrms · 1966
Philosophischer Versuch über die WahrscheinlichkeitenAdolf Fick · 1873
A treatise on induction and probabilityG. H. von Wright · 1951
The Emergence of ProbabilityIan Hacking · 1975- 📕Meaning of the Concept of Probability in Application to Finite Sequences (Routledge Revivals)Hilary Putnam · 2011
The problem of inductive logicInternational Colloquium in the Philosophy of Science (1965 Bedford College) · 1968
Ranked by number of editions on Open Library, a rough measure of how lasting a book is.
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